Favour Godwill
Protective Intelligence Portfolio
I am interested in how public-source intelligence, behavioural change and business context can help organisations protect people and maintain operations.
My approach is to separate signal from noise, test alternative explanations and communicate uncertainty clearly.
The aim is not simply to describe what is happening. It is to explain why it matters, what could happen next and what decision should follow.
Focus areas
Where I concentrate
- Protective Intelligence
- OSINT
- Event Risk
- Behavioural Assessment
- Structured Analysis
- Business Impact
- Executive Communication
Method
How the analysis is built
Protective Intelligence
- event threat framing
- executive exposure
- escalation thresholds
- proportionate recommendations
OSINT
- public-source research
- mobilisation analysis
- event-specific targeting
- source validation
- trend analysis
Behavioural Assessment
- separating criticism from risk-changing behaviour
- identifying escalation indicators
- using counter-indicators
Structured Analysis
- alternative hypotheses
- confidence statements
- most likely course of action (MLCOA)
- most dangerous course of action (MDCOA)
- assessment-change indicators
Business Analysis
- operational impact
- reputation
- leadership impact
- supplier exposure
- cross-functional response
Intelligence Writing
- flash alerts
- protective intelligence briefs
- executive briefs
- long-form assessments
Tools
Tools and methods demonstrated by the portfolio
- Excel
- Python
- Data visualisation
- Structured evidence registers
- OSINT workflow concepts
- Event intelligence
- Risk scoring
- Analysis of Competing Hypotheses
- MLCOA / MDCOA
- Executive briefing
- Power BI-ready data structures
Contact
Get in touch
Contact details are not published on this portfolio yet. The full analytical work is available in the case study and the intelligence briefs.